Category: Global Economy
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Fiscal Policy Is Carrying the Growth Burden
For the first time in decades, the global economic cycle is being shaped less by the movements of central banks and more by the decisions of fiscal authorities. With monetary policy constrained by high inflation, elevated interest rates, and limited room for further tightening or easing, governments across both advanced…
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The Final EU–India FTA: A Historic Breakthrough and Its Deep Impact on India’s MSMEs
When India and the European Union formally announced the conclusion of their Free Trade Agreement at the 16th India-EU Summit in New Delhi, the moment marked the end of a negotiation marathon that began almost two decades ago. Now widely described as the “mother of all deals,” the pact connects…
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Global Growth Enters a Low-Gear Phase
The world economy is entering a distinctly different phase—neither overheating with inflationary pressure nor collapsing into recession. Instead, global growth is settling into a low-gear, below-trend trajectory that reflects structural adjustments across major economies. This new normal challenges the assumptions that shaped global policy, trade flows, and investment strategies over…
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When Growth Steps Back: The Quiet Rise of Micro-Level Resilience
For decades, economic progress was measured by expansion—higher consumption, rising credit, and greater risk-taking at the household and small-business level. Growth was not just encouraged; it was expected. Yet, across economies today, a subtle but profound shift is underway. At the micro level, resilience is replacing growth as the dominant…
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The EU–India FTA: Why the “Mother of All Deals” Could Redraw Global Trade Geography
When Ursula von der Leyen called the upcoming EU–India Free Trade Agreement the “mother of all deals” at Davos, it was not diplomatic exaggeration. It was a recognition that this potential agreement—linking nearly two billion people and close to one-fourth of global GDP—could structurally shift the direction of global trade,…
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Mindset Shift: Resilience Before Growth
The global business landscape is undergoing a quiet but profound reset. Across sectors—from small manufacturers and trader networks to tech-enabled micro-enterprises and service providers—the dominant sentiment is no longer “How fast can we grow?” but “How long can we survive shocks?” This shift is not temporary; it is structural. Firms…
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Canada–China Trade Reset Under Trump’s Shadow: A New Geoeconomic Equation
Canada’s decision to enter a new trade arrangement with China—lowering tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles while securing tariff cuts for Canadian canola—marks a striking reconfiguration of North American geopolitics. What makes this moment even more consequential is not just the deal itself, but the public endorsement from U.S. President Donald…
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Beyond Tariffs: Why India and Canada Are Natural Partners in the Next Global Trade Cycle
A Canada–India Free Trade Agreement could become one of the most strategically important economic steps for both countries in the coming decade, provided it is crafted with precision, long-term vision, and sector-specific priorities. Unlike other FTAs where competitive interests dominate, Canada and India are complementary economies, with Canada endowed with…