Category: capital market
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Currency Wars and the New Geopolitical Economy
For decades, currencies were treated largely as economic instruments linked to trade balances, inflation control, and monetary stability. Today, currencies are slowly transforming into geopolitical weapons. Exchange rates are no longer merely numbers decided by markets or central banks. They are becoming instruments of strategic influence, economic pressure, export competitiveness,…
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The Strange Moment When Global Markets Rise but India Slows Down
For many Indians watching television or checking stock apps every evening, the current situation feels confusing. American markets are touching new highs, some European and Asian indices are recovering, technology stocks globally are attracting fresh investment, and optimism around artificial intelligence and energy transition is pushing capital into many economies.…
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India’s Tax Maze and the Growing Global Discomfort with Investing in India
For decades India was presented to the world as a land of demographic strength, entrepreneurship, democracy, and long-term growth potential. From the economic reforms of 1991 onwards, foreign investors slowly began to see India as a serious alternative to many emerging markets. Global fund managers travelled across continents explaining the…
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Japan’s Rising Bond Yields: The End of an Era of Cheap Money?
For decades, Japan represented an anomaly in the global financial system—an economy trapped in deflation, ultra-low interest rates, and a central bank that effectively controlled the bond market. Today, that story is being rewritten. The sharp rise in Japanese Government Bond (JGB) yields—especially the 10-year yield touching around 2.3%, a…
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Capital Allocation in a Fragmented Industrial World: The Rise of the Two-Speed Economy:From Global Efficiency to Strategic Prioritisation
For nearly three decades after the Cold War, global capital flowed primarily toward efficiency. Investors rewarded cost arbitrage, scale, and global integration. Manufacturing expanded into lower-cost geographies, supply chains stretched across continents, and industrial policy appeared secondary to market logic. But the post-pandemic, geopolitically charged world has altered that pattern.…
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The Hidden Faultline: A K-Shaped Reality Beneath the Global Averages
The global economy today is celebrated through headline numbers—GDP growth, stock market highs, rising FDI flows, expanding digital infrastructure. But beneath these broad averages lies a sharply K-shaped economic reality, where prosperity rises steeply for some sectors and communities while stagnation deepens for others. This divergence is not accidental; it…
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Working-Capital Stress: The Oldest Constraint in a New Global Order
Working-capital stress is not a temporary disruption—it is a structural feature of how modern supply chains are being reorganized. From automotive and electronics to garments and engineering goods, large OEMs and global buyers are enforcing faster delivery timelines while simultaneously stretching payment cycles and transferring inventory risk downstream. What appears,…
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Private versus Public Investment: What Is Really Pulling India’s Growth?
India’s current growth story sits at an unusual historical crossroads. At a time when headline GDP growth for FY26 is projected in the 6.5–7.4% range, the composition of that growth reveals a deeper structural imbalance. The economy is expanding, but it is being carried disproportionately by the state rather than…
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Capital Is Choosing Certainty Over Consumption: A Structural Shift in Global Equity Markets
Global equity markets are undergoing a quiet but profound reallocation of capital. What looks, on the surface, like a routine sector rotation is in fact a deeper structural transition in how investors assess risk, growth, and durability. Equity inflows are no longer chasing narratives of mass consumption or lifestyle expansion.…
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India’s Widening Trade Deficit and Declining Rupee: A Turning Point for Economic Strategy
India is entering a decisive phase in its economic journey as the trade deficit surges to historic levels while the rupee continuously weakens against the US dollar. These twin developments are not isolated market fluctuations — they represent structural tensions in India’s external sector, shaped by deep historical legacies and…
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