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The Mirage of Stability: Why U.S. Consumer Spending Decline Signals a Deeper Structural Strain
At first glance, the U.S. economy entering late 2025 looks deceptively strong. Headline growth remains positive, unemployment near historic lows, and corporate earnings continue to meet or exceed expectations. Yet, beneath this reassuring surface, a deeper unease is emerging. The Financial Times recently reported that real consumer expenditure in the…
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The World in Flux: Adapting to a New Phase of Structural Change
The global economy stands at a pivotal crossroads. From the transformative sweep of Artificial Intelligence (AI) to the reshaping of geopolitics, financial systems, and regulatory frameworks, the 2020s mark not just another business cycle but a structural realignment of the world order. History offers echoes of such turning points —…
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The 50% Tariff Shock: Why India Must Redesign Its Manufacturing Future
A Global Trade Reality Check India’s ambitious plan to expand its manufacturing base — particularly in labour-intensive sectors like apparel, electronics, and auto components — faces a fresh headwind. The World Economic Forum’s analysis, cited by The Economic Times, warns that a 50 % U.S. tariff threat could significantly undermine…
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India’s Manufacturing Moment: The Road from 17% to 25% of GDP
From Industrial Aspirations to Global Ambitions India’s manufacturing story has been one of persistent potential. Since the early years of independence, successive plans—from the Second Five-Year Plan under Nehru to the Make in India initiative—have recognized manufacturing as the backbone of economic progress. Yet, while agriculture’s share in GDP has…
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Global Manufacturing Signals: The Twin Slowdown in China and Russia and What It Means for the World Economy
A Tale of Two Factories: Diverging but Converging Risks Manufacturing has long been the pulse of the global economy — an early signal of growth, resilience, or stress. The latest Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) readings from two industrial powers, China and Russia, reveal a subtle but significant turning point.China’s private…
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China’s EV Policy : From Subsidy-Fueled Growth to Market Maturity
The End of an Era for State-Supported Expansion China’s decision to omit electric vehicles (EVs) from its 2026–2030 strategic industries plan marks a watershed moment in the evolution of global mobility. For nearly two decades, Beijing’s policy stance—heavy subsidies, industrial clustering, and technology localization—propelled China to the forefront of the…
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Strategic Autonomy in a Shifting US–China–ASEAN Order
India’s foreign policy is entering a pivotal phase as tectonic shifts reshape the global power balance. With the United States and China locked in prolonged strategic competition and ASEAN navigating internal realignments, India has emerged as a pragmatic power — balancing security imperatives, economic partnerships, and its doctrine of strategic…
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Canada’s Transformation Moment: Building an Efficient, Scalable, and Competitive Innovation Economy
Canada stands at a defining economic crossroads. As global markets grow more competitive and technologies evolve at unprecedented speed, the country’s economic future depends on whether it can transition from a resource-based model to a knowledge-driven, innovation-led powerhouse.Recent remarks by Prime Minister Mark Carney and Parliamentary discussions underscore this urgency:…
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Mature Economies at the Edge: Monetary Ceilings and Industrial Decline
The End of Easy Money For over a decade following the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, advanced economies relied heavily on ultra-loose monetary policies — near-zero interest rates, quantitative easing, and liquidity injections. These measures prevented economic collapse but also eroded the traditional tools of central banks.By the early 2020s, the…
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"Connecting communities, empowering nations: Unifying the Regional and Global Economy ." 