Category: USA
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The US Economy in 2025: A Surge, a Slowdown, and a Strategic Crossroads
The United States entered late-2025 on a surprising note: GDP growth accelerated to 4.3% (annualized) in Q3, the strongest pace in two years and far above market expectations. This resurgence—impressive on the surface—comes after a volatile period marked by policy reversals, tariff redesigns, and recession anxieties. Historically, such late-cycle surges…
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The Long Road to an India–US Trade Compact: Between Strategic Convergence and Structural Friction
A Relationship Shaped by History, Not Habit The idea of an India–US Free Trade Agreement has resurfaced many times over the past three decades, only to stall at the intersection of economics and politics. Unlike India’s trade engagements with the EU, ASEAN, or even the UK, a US trade deal…
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Global Trade at a Crossroads: The Geopolitical Economics of Decoupling
The global trading system is entering a new phase—one defined not by efficiency and cost advantages but by security, resilience, and strategic autonomy. Over the past three decades, globalization was driven by the pursuit of low-cost manufacturing, scale efficiencies, and integrated supply chains. China became the world’s industrial backbone, supplying…
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The Hidden Backbone of America’s Economy: Why Electronics Manufacturing Still Matters
For decades, the global narrative has been that the United States “lost” electronics manufacturing to East Asia. Images of assembly lines in China, semiconductor clusters in Taiwan, and display fabs in South Korea have dominated public imagination. Yet new data reveals a more complex and far more consequential reality: the…
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The Mirage of Stability: Why U.S. Consumer Spending Decline Signals a Deeper Structural Strain
At first glance, the U.S. economy entering late 2025 looks deceptively strong. Headline growth remains positive, unemployment near historic lows, and corporate earnings continue to meet or exceed expectations. Yet, beneath this reassuring surface, a deeper unease is emerging. The Financial Times recently reported that real consumer expenditure in the…
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U.S.–China One-Year Trade Truce: Historical Echoes, Immediate Relief and a Futuristic Crossroads
1 From Engagement to Escalation The economic relationship between the world’s two largest economies — the United States (US) and the People’s Republic of China (China) — has long oscillated between phases of integration and contestation. Beginning in the late 1970s, China’s opening up and its accession to the World…
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U.S. Bilateral Trade Deals: Deadlines, Diplomacy, and the Illusion of Completion Before November 2025
The November Anticipation: Fact or Political Optics? As global markets await a series of trade announcements from Washington, a growing narrative suggests that the United States may finalize all its bilateral trade agreements before 5 November 2025. However, there is no public confirmation to substantiate this claim. The speculation, amplified…
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The Shifting Architecture of Global Trade — How U.S. Export Controls and Tariffs Are Reshaping Supply Chains
From Open Trade to Controlled Interdependence The United States once stood at the epicenter of global free trade, championing open markets and liberalization since the Bretton Woods era. However, the trajectory has sharply changed in recent years, especially since the trade conflicts of the late 2010s. The U.S. is now…
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Navigating the New Frontiers: A Futuristic & Critical Outlook on Trade-Technology Confrontation, UK Fiscal Fault-Lines, and Structural Realignment
In today’s globally interwoven economy, three themes weave together into a tapestry of deep structural change: the escalating trade and technology confrontation between the United States and China, the domestic fiscal debates within the United Kingdom (as captured by the independent Office for Budget Responsibility), and the imperative for companies…
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