Category: USA
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United States vs China: The Clean Energy Divide and the Future of Global Trade
The global contest between the United States and China is no longer confined to traditional industries—it has decisively shifted to clean energy. The two largest economies are navigating divergent paths: China doubling down on renewables and the U.S. stepping back, prioritizing fossil fuel infrastructure under shifting policy priorities. This divergence…
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When a Virtuous Cycle Risks Turning Vicious: India Under Trump’s Trade Lens
India’s economy has often been described as a “virtuous cycle” — a loop where rising domestic demand fuels investment, which in turn creates jobs, higher incomes, and stronger consumption. For years, this cycle has been reinforced by India’s services exports, particularly in information technology, business process outsourcing, and skilled professional…
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India–U.S. Trade Relations in Turmoil: The Hidden Depth of the Crisis
India’s trade relationship with the United States has entered one of its most challenging phases in recent years. What began as targeted tariffs has now snowballed into a broad-based crisis, with severe implications for multiple industries and long-term economic ties. The collapse of smartphone exports to America is only the…
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U.S. Tariffs on Indian Exports: A Shock and a Wake-Up Call
The recent imposition of 50% tariffs on Indian exports by the United States, linked to India’s discounted oil purchases from Russia, has once again highlighted how geopolitics and trade policy intersect. According to estimates, India’s economic growth could take a hit of nearly 0.8 percentage points, a non-trivial impact for…
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Rising Delivery Delays and Their Cost Impact on U.S. Manufacturing Imports
Over the past few years, the U.S. manufacturing sector has faced mounting challenges in maintaining smooth supply chains. Between 2018 and 2024, delivery delays for imported foreign inputs lengthened by an average of 21 days. This increase has not only disrupted production schedules but also forced firms to hold higher…
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Global Trade at a Crossroads: How Tariffs, Costs, and Shifting Alliances Are Redrawing the Map
The global trade landscape in 2025 reflects a world grappling with rising protectionism, changing supply chain strategies, and mounting cost pressures. From Germany’s export woes to China’s pivot toward the Global South, and from the United States’ widening trade deficit to Brazil’s steel realignment, the picture is one of disruption…
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Global Trade at a Crossroads: EU Steel, Chemicals, and Semiconductor Battles
The Strain on European IndustryEuropean heavy industries are once again on the defensive. Steelmakers such as Thyssenkrupp warn of structural collapse if the European Union does not impose stronger trade protections. Their plea echoes U.S. industrial policy, where import tariffs shield domestic producers from cheaper foreign steel. The European concern…
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Navigating Policy Uncertainty: What 2025 May Hold for Investors
Investors are currently steering through one of the most uncertain macroeconomic landscapes in recent memory. A nexus of forces—U.S. inflation dynamics, central bank signaling, geopolitical instability, and commodity price fluctuations—is creating a fraught backdrop for economic forecasts. Each factor on its own is difficult to predict; combined, they form a…
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Fracturing, Not Deglobalizing: The Emerging Shape of the World Economy
The global economy today is often described through the lens of deglobalization, but that framing risks oversimplifying what is truly happening. Rather than a retreat from global integration, what we are witnessing is a strategic fracturing of certain sectors. While trade, capital, and investment still flow across borders at scale,…
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US Tariffs: A Challenge to “Make in India” Momentum
The recent move by the United States to impose 50% tariffs on key imports has created turbulence for Indian exporters. Sectors such as apparel, jewelry, textiles, and seafood—all of which form critical pillars of India’s export basket—now face steep cost disadvantages in the American market. These industries collectively employ millions,…
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