Category: USA
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U.S.–China One-Year Trade Truce: Historical Echoes, Immediate Relief and a Futuristic Crossroads
1 From Engagement to Escalation The economic relationship between the world’s two largest economies — the United States (US) and the People’s Republic of China (China) — has long oscillated between phases of integration and contestation. Beginning in the late 1970s, China’s opening up and its accession to the World…
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U.S. Bilateral Trade Deals: Deadlines, Diplomacy, and the Illusion of Completion Before November 2025
The November Anticipation: Fact or Political Optics? As global markets await a series of trade announcements from Washington, a growing narrative suggests that the United States may finalize all its bilateral trade agreements before 5 November 2025. However, there is no public confirmation to substantiate this claim. The speculation, amplified…
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The Shifting Architecture of Global Trade — How U.S. Export Controls and Tariffs Are Reshaping Supply Chains
From Open Trade to Controlled Interdependence The United States once stood at the epicenter of global free trade, championing open markets and liberalization since the Bretton Woods era. However, the trajectory has sharply changed in recent years, especially since the trade conflicts of the late 2010s. The U.S. is now…
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Navigating the New Frontiers: A Futuristic & Critical Outlook on Trade-Technology Confrontation, UK Fiscal Fault-Lines, and Structural Realignment
In today’s globally interwoven economy, three themes weave together into a tapestry of deep structural change: the escalating trade and technology confrontation between the United States and China, the domestic fiscal debates within the United Kingdom (as captured by the independent Office for Budget Responsibility), and the imperative for companies…
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Strategic Shift in Global Chip Production — The New Geography of Silicon Power
A Turning Point in Semiconductor Sovereignty The unveiling of the first Blackwell chip wafer produced in the United States marks a historic milestone in the global semiconductor landscape. For decades, the center of gravity in chip manufacturing has been concentrated in East Asia—particularly Taiwan, South Korea, and, increasingly, China. The…
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The Chip War: How Semiconductors Became the Battlefield of Global Power
In the 21st century, wars are not fought only with missiles or troops — they are fought with microchips. The so-called “Chip War” represents one of the most defining geopolitical, economic, and technological rivalries of our age. It is not a war of bullets but of bytes, where nations compete…
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Small Businesses and U.S. Export Growth: Between Resilience and Structural Shifts
The Unsung Backbone The story of U.S. exports is not only about global corporations but also about the vast network of small businesses that quietly fuel America’s trade engine. Nearly 97% of U.S. exporters are small firms, and their contribution extends beyond numbers—they embody productivity, resilience, and innovation. Historically, American…
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Latin America’s Trade Crossroads: Watching U.S. Tariff Shifts with Uneasy Eyes
For much of modern history, Latin America’s economic fortunes have been tied to global demand for its commodities—coffee, copper, soybeans, oil, and more recently, lithium. The region’s trade models were built around exporting primary goods and importing higher-value industrial products. This dependency makes Latin America acutely sensitive to tariff policies…
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United States vs China: The Clean Energy Divide and the Future of Global Trade
The global contest between the United States and China is no longer confined to traditional industries—it has decisively shifted to clean energy. The two largest economies are navigating divergent paths: China doubling down on renewables and the U.S. stepping back, prioritizing fossil fuel infrastructure under shifting policy priorities. This divergence…
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