-
Diamonds Are Forever—But the Industry Is Not
For nearly a century, the diamond industry sold more than a gemstone. It sold permanence. Love that outlived generations. Wealth that resisted time. The slogan “A Diamond is Forever” did not just market a product—it created an economic myth that sustained prices, employment, and national industries across continents. Yet from…
-
Stablecoins : A Digital Coin That Tries to Stay Calm
Imagine money that lives on the internet like Bitcoin, but does not jump up and down in price every day. That is exactly what a stablecoin tries to be. A stablecoin is a type of digital money designed to stay stable in value, usually equal to something familiar like 1…
-
Cluster-Level Consolidation Accelerates
Across India’s manufacturing landscape, a quiet but consequential restructuring is underway. In textiles, engineering goods, auto components, and food processing clusters, the old equilibrium of numerous small, loosely connected units is giving way to a leaner architecture. Weaker firms—strained by cost pressures, compliance burdens, and volatile demand—are exiting. Stronger firms…
-
Latin America Today: Growth Without Momentum, Stability Without Comfort
Latin America enters 2025 carrying a familiar but increasingly fragile economic pattern: modest growth, improving inflation, and unresolved structural vulnerabilities. The region is no longer in crisis mode, yet it is far from a durable recovery. What defines the current moment is not collapse, but constraint—external, fiscal, political, and institutional.…
-
Oil, Power, and the Return of Geopolitical Pricing
Oil markets have always been more than a story of barrels and balances; they are a mirror of global power, conflict, and expectations about the future. The recent move of crude prices to two-week highs reflects not a sudden structural shortage, but a familiar cocktail of geopolitical anxiety layered over…
-
China of 2026: Growth Without Illusions
As China steps into 2026, its economy presents a paradox that has become familiar over the past decade: resilience without exuberance. The headline ambition of sustaining around 5% GDP growth is not merely a numerical target but a political-economic anchor—designed to stabilize expectations, counter deflationary psychology, and signal continuity as…
-
When Factories Pause: Reading the Signals from India’s Manufacturing Slowdown
India’s factory output losing momentum in December—marking the slowest expansion in nearly two years—is not merely a monthly data point. It is a signal flare. Beneath the headline lies a deeper story about demand fatigue, global trade realignments, and the structural crossroads at which Indian manufacturing now stands. For an…
-
US GDP Beats Forecasts: Growth Against the Grain
For more than two years, the dominant macro narrative predicted that high interest rates, trade disruptions, and geopolitical shocks would inevitably push the United States into a slowdown, if not a recession. Yet the data has consistently defied those expectations. US GDP growth has surprised on the upside, even as…
-
A New Year’s Resolution for Economists in 2026: Think Like the Future Is Already Here
For an economist, a New Year’s resolution in 2026 cannot be about reading more or publishing faster. Those habits belong to a slower era. The defining resolution for this decade is far more demanding: to fundamentally re-tool the way we understand economic change in a world where artificial intelligence, geopolitics,…
-
The Most Critical Economic Challenge of 2026: Trade Policy Uncertainty
Every decade has one fault line that quietly reshapes the global economy. In the 1970s it was oil. In the 2000s it was financial leverage. In the 2020s, it is trade policy uncertainty—and by 2026, this uncertainty has become the single most destabilizing force in the global economic system. Unlike…