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Big AI vs Small AI: The New Frontier of Global Development
The World Bank President Ajay Banga’s distinction between Big AI and Small AI is emerging as one of the most important intellectual frameworks for understanding how artificial intelligence will reshape global development, labour markets, and economic resilience over the coming decade. This is not merely a technological categorisation—it is a…
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When Growth Steps Back: The Quiet Rise of Micro-Level Resilience
For decades, economic progress was measured by expansion—higher consumption, rising credit, and greater risk-taking at the household and small-business level. Growth was not just encouraged; it was expected. Yet, across economies today, a subtle but profound shift is underway. At the micro level, resilience is replacing growth as the dominant…
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The EU–India FTA: Why the “Mother of All Deals” Could Redraw Global Trade Geography
When Ursula von der Leyen called the upcoming EU–India Free Trade Agreement the “mother of all deals” at Davos, it was not diplomatic exaggeration. It was a recognition that this potential agreement—linking nearly two billion people and close to one-fourth of global GDP—could structurally shift the direction of global trade,…
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Decarbonising India’s Industrial Backbone
India’s aspiration to become a $30 trillion economy by 2047 is inseparable from the evolution of its industrial base. Historically, industrialisation has driven economic transformation—from the steel-led expansion of the 1950s, to the energy-intensive infrastructure boom of the 1990s, to the MSME-driven growth engine of the early 2000s. But as…
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Mindset Shift: Resilience Before Growth
The global business landscape is undergoing a quiet but profound reset. Across sectors—from small manufacturers and trader networks to tech-enabled micro-enterprises and service providers—the dominant sentiment is no longer “How fast can we grow?” but “How long can we survive shocks?” This shift is not temporary; it is structural. Firms…
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The Age Beyond Limits: How Humanoid Robots and Autonomous Systems Redefine the Global Economy
Human civilisation has always grown by expanding the productivity of each individual. From the plough to the steam engine, from electricity to computers, every great economic leap has followed an expansion in what a single human can produce within a unit of time. Today, we stand at the threshold of…
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Europe’s Economic Bazooka: A New Kind of Power in Global Negotiations
In the long evolution of global economic tools, few instruments represent a sharper shift than the European Union’s emerging “economic bazooka.” Unlike traditional tariff-based measures, this mechanism is designed for a digital, service-driven global economy—one where platforms, data, and cloud infrastructure matter more than shipping containers or commodity flows. The…
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Canada–China Trade Reset Under Trump’s Shadow: A New Geoeconomic Equation
Canada’s decision to enter a new trade arrangement with China—lowering tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles while securing tariff cuts for Canadian canola—marks a striking reconfiguration of North American geopolitics. What makes this moment even more consequential is not just the deal itself, but the public endorsement from U.S. President Donald…
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Beyond Tariffs: Why India and Canada Are Natural Partners in the Next Global Trade Cycle
A Canada–India Free Trade Agreement could become one of the most strategically important economic steps for both countries in the coming decade, provided it is crafted with precision, long-term vision, and sector-specific priorities. Unlike other FTAs where competitive interests dominate, Canada and India are complementary economies, with Canada endowed with…