Category: international trade
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India–Russia Trade Reset: Strategic Openings After Putin’s 2025 Visit
India’s renewed engagement with Russia following Vladimir Putin’s December 4–5, 2025 visit marks a decisive shift in New Delhi’s long-term foreign economic strategy. The new Economic Cooperation Programme till 2030 signals that the partnership is evolving beyond energy dependency into a structured, multi-sector commercial relationship with a clearly stated ambition:…
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Global Trade at a Crossroads: The Geopolitical Economics of Decoupling
The global trading system is entering a new phase—one defined not by efficiency and cost advantages but by security, resilience, and strategic autonomy. Over the past three decades, globalization was driven by the pursuit of low-cost manufacturing, scale efficiencies, and integrated supply chains. China became the world’s industrial backbone, supplying…
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China’s Textile Slowdown: A Turning Point in the Global Apparel System
The global textile landscape is shifting—and this time, the movement is structural rather than cyclical. China’s textile exports have now declined for the second consecutive quarter, signalling not just a slowdown but a deeper recalibration driven by rising labour costs, compliance pressures, geopolitical tariffs, and consumer-driven sustainability requirements. Historically, China…
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India’s Textiles & Apparel Transition: Between Tariffs, Technology, and a Global Reset
India’s textiles and apparel industry stands at a defining crossroads — not because of a single disruption, but because of the convergence of tariffs, technology, and labour dynamics that are reshaping global competitiveness. The recent policy shifts, global protectionism, and emerging supply-chain restructurings have created a paradoxical moment: pressure and…
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India’s Widening Trade Deficit and Declining Rupee: A Turning Point for Economic Strategy
India is entering a decisive phase in its economic journey as the trade deficit surges to historic levels while the rupee continuously weakens against the US dollar. These twin developments are not isolated market fluctuations — they represent structural tensions in India’s external sector, shaped by deep historical legacies and…
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Confidence in India’s Logistics Cost: The Story of Economic Transition
For decades, one of the most cited bottlenecks to India’s global competitiveness was its high logistics cost. Economists, investors and policymakers repeatedly argued that India’s logistics bill—long believed to be 13–14% of GDP—reduced export competitiveness, limited manufacturing output and made supply chains inefficient, especially compared to advanced economies averaging 8–10%.However,…
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Why Indian Businesses Can No Longer Treat the Global Environment as “Neutral”
For decades, Indian businesses were taught that global markets reward efficiency, low costs, and competitiveness. The implicit assumption was that the international economic environment is stable and neutral — that trade rules apply equally to all, and global supply chains function smoothly regardless of politics.That assumption no longer holds. History…
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India’s Rising Trade & Currency Strategy: A Structural Shift Toward Local-Currency Globalisation
India’s trade and currency strategy is undergoing one of its most important transitions since the liberalisation era of 1991. The recent policy tone, reflected in new trade-settlement arrangements and diversification of trading partners, indicates a deliberate attempt to reshape India’s external economic architecture. The underlying message is clear: India is…
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India’s Air-Cargo Pivot: How Tariffs Are Reshaping the Future of Export Logistics
In a world where tariffs, sanctions, and geopolitical trade barriers are redefining global commerce, India’s air-cargo sector is undergoing a structural transformation rather than a cyclical upswing. High-value export segments—pharmaceuticals, smartphones, electronics, precision engineering, jewellery, and even specialized agricultural goods—are increasingly prioritizing speed, reliability, and risk-hedging over traditional cost optimisation.…
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Tariff-Fuelled Inflation vs. Normal Inflation: Understanding the Old Battle in a New Global Economy
Inflation is not new to economic history. From ancient Rome’s currency debasement to the oil shocks of the 1970s, rising prices have repeatedly altered the trajectory of societies and markets. Yet the 2020s and 2030s have brought back a somewhat forgotten variant of inflation—tariff-fuelled inflation—a policy-driven price rise that reflects…
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