Category: international trade
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India’s Rising Trade & Currency Strategy: A Structural Shift Toward Local-Currency Globalisation
India’s trade and currency strategy is undergoing one of its most important transitions since the liberalisation era of 1991. The recent policy tone, reflected in new trade-settlement arrangements and diversification of trading partners, indicates a deliberate attempt to reshape India’s external economic architecture. The underlying message is clear: India is…
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India’s Air-Cargo Pivot: How Tariffs Are Reshaping the Future of Export Logistics
In a world where tariffs, sanctions, and geopolitical trade barriers are redefining global commerce, India’s air-cargo sector is undergoing a structural transformation rather than a cyclical upswing. High-value export segments—pharmaceuticals, smartphones, electronics, precision engineering, jewellery, and even specialized agricultural goods—are increasingly prioritizing speed, reliability, and risk-hedging over traditional cost optimisation.…
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Tariff-Fuelled Inflation vs. Normal Inflation: Understanding the Old Battle in a New Global Economy
Inflation is not new to economic history. From ancient Rome’s currency debasement to the oil shocks of the 1970s, rising prices have repeatedly altered the trajectory of societies and markets. Yet the 2020s and 2030s have brought back a somewhat forgotten variant of inflation—tariff-fuelled inflation—a policy-driven price rise that reflects…
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Global Supply Chain Disruptions: Lessons from Crisis and Pathways to Resilience
From Local Hiccups to Global Shocks The globalization of trade since the late 20th century turned supply chains into vast, interdependent networks spanning continents. What began as an efficiency revolution—outsourcing, lean inventories, and just-in-time production—created systems optimized for cost but not for resilience.Historically, disruptions were local: a flood in Thailand…
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India’s Textile Sector : How Exporters Are Weaving a New Future in Europe Amid U.S. Tariff Pressures
A Shifting Fabric of Global Trade India’s textile exporters are rethreading their global strategy. Faced with rising U.S. tariffs—impacting nearly 29% of India’s textile and apparel exports—they are now turning toward Europe, a market long valued for its design diversity and regulatory depth. According to Reuters, Indian exporters are not…
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The World in Flux: Adapting to a New Phase of Structural Change
The global economy stands at a pivotal crossroads. From the transformative sweep of Artificial Intelligence (AI) to the reshaping of geopolitics, financial systems, and regulatory frameworks, the 2020s mark not just another business cycle but a structural realignment of the world order. History offers echoes of such turning points —…
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The 50% Tariff Shock: Why India Must Redesign Its Manufacturing Future
A Global Trade Reality Check India’s ambitious plan to expand its manufacturing base — particularly in labour-intensive sectors like apparel, electronics, and auto components — faces a fresh headwind. The World Economic Forum’s analysis, cited by The Economic Times, warns that a 50 % U.S. tariff threat could significantly undermine…
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U.S.–China One-Year Trade Truce: Historical Echoes, Immediate Relief and a Futuristic Crossroads
1 From Engagement to Escalation The economic relationship between the world’s two largest economies — the United States (US) and the People’s Republic of China (China) — has long oscillated between phases of integration and contestation. Beginning in the late 1970s, China’s opening up and its accession to the World…
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U.S. Bilateral Trade Deals: Deadlines, Diplomacy, and the Illusion of Completion Before November 2025
The November Anticipation: Fact or Political Optics? As global markets await a series of trade announcements from Washington, a growing narrative suggests that the United States may finalize all its bilateral trade agreements before 5 November 2025. However, there is no public confirmation to substantiate this claim. The speculation, amplified…