Category: China
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China: The Real Rule-Based Winner of International Trade — A Historical, Critical, and Futuristic View
For more than two decades, one claim has quietly shaped global economics: the largest beneficiary of the rules-based international trading system has been China. This is not merely a geopolitical argument—it is an economic reality backed by trade flows, industrial transformation, and a historic rebalancing of global production. But explaining…
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China’s Involution Economy: Why the World Faces Inflation While China Battles Falling Prices
As much of the world continues to struggle with high inflation—from the United States to Europe and most emerging markets—China stands out as a rare case moving in the opposite direction. Prices in China have remained unusually low, and in many sectors, they continue to fall. This deflationary trend is…
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Global Manufacturing Signals: The Twin Slowdown in China and Russia and What It Means for the World Economy
A Tale of Two Factories: Diverging but Converging Risks Manufacturing has long been the pulse of the global economy — an early signal of growth, resilience, or stress. The latest Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) readings from two industrial powers, China and Russia, reveal a subtle but significant turning point.China’s private…
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China’s EV Policy : From Subsidy-Fueled Growth to Market Maturity
The End of an Era for State-Supported Expansion China’s decision to omit electric vehicles (EVs) from its 2026–2030 strategic industries plan marks a watershed moment in the evolution of global mobility. For nearly two decades, Beijing’s policy stance—heavy subsidies, industrial clustering, and technology localization—propelled China to the forefront of the…
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U.S.–China One-Year Trade Truce: Historical Echoes, Immediate Relief and a Futuristic Crossroads
1 From Engagement to Escalation The economic relationship between the world’s two largest economies — the United States (US) and the People’s Republic of China (China) — has long oscillated between phases of integration and contestation. Beginning in the late 1970s, China’s opening up and its accession to the World…
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Germany & China — The Quiet Redefinition of Global Manufacturing Power
A Historical Turn in Trade Dynamics For much of the post-Cold War period, Germany stood as the industrial powerhouse of Europe — its manufacturing base supplying the world with automobiles, chemicals, and machinery. Yet, in 2025, the trade compass has tilted. Reuters data reveals that China has overtaken the United…
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The Shifting Architecture of Global Trade — How U.S. Export Controls and Tariffs Are Reshaping Supply Chains
From Open Trade to Controlled Interdependence The United States once stood at the epicenter of global free trade, championing open markets and liberalization since the Bretton Woods era. However, the trajectory has sharply changed in recent years, especially since the trade conflicts of the late 2010s. The U.S. is now…
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Why China Is Quietly Winning the Trade War: A Historical, Strategic, and Futuristic Analysis
Beyond Tariffs and Tensions The global trade war that began in the late 2010s as a confrontation over tariffs has, by 2025, evolved into a deeper structural realignment. While much of the Western narrative focuses on protectionism, supply-chain security, and “de-risking” from China, The Economist’s recent leader article (October 23,…
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China’s Expanding Export-Control Regime: The Next Frontier in Global Supply-Chain Politics
From Tariffs to Technology Controls On 9 October 2025, China’s Ministry of Commerce unveiled a sweeping expansion of its export-control regime, targeting rare earths, lithium batteries, artificial graphite, and superhard materials. More strikingly, it introduced extraterritorial provisions, implying that goods produced outside China but using Chinese inputs may still fall…
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