India Becomes the 4th Largest Economy – But Who Really Benefits?

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In 2025, India proudly ascended to the position of the world’s fourth-largest economy, overtaking Japan, whose economy has shrunk from $6 trillion to approximately $4 trillion. While this milestone is significant from a macroeconomic standpoint, it raises a vital question: Is this growth equitable?

The Illusion of Size: Growth Amidst Inequality

India’s GDP growth has indeed been impressive, driven by a combination of digital transformation, infrastructural expansion, and favorable global investment flows. But GDP alone is a blunt measure. It tells us little about how wealth is distributed across a population of over 1.4 billion people. To truly understand the picture, we must look deeper—into the stark inequalities embedded in the structure of this growth.

A Tale of Two Indias: The Top 1% vs the Bottom 50%

As of 2022, the top 1% of Indians earned nearly 23% of the national income. In sharp contrast, the bottom 50% of the population earned just 3%. This alarming disparity paints a clear picture of income concentration at the top, highlighting the widening chasm between the rich and the rest.

To put this into perspective: one in every hundred Indians earns nearly one-fourth of the total income, while half the nation struggles to share a meager three percent. This is not just an issue of fairness—it is an issue of sustainability, economic resilience, and long-term growth.

Post-Pandemic Economic Recovery: Who Was Left Behind?

The COVID-19 pandemic acted as a massive economic disruptor globally, but its aftershocks were not evenly distributed. In India, the bottom 20% saw their incomes fall by a staggering 53%, effectively undoing decades of progress in poverty reduction and social mobility. Meanwhile, the top 1% largely remained insulated, even benefiting in certain sectors such as digital services, fintech, and high-end manufacturing.

This pattern of “K-shaped recovery”—where the rich grow richer while the poor sink deeper—undermines not only social justice but also the promise of inclusive development.

Economic Growth ≠ Social Progress

Becoming the fourth-largest economy is a geopolitical and strategic milestone, but it must be weighed against the domestic reality:

Rural distress continues, with underemployment and stagnant wages haunting agricultural and informal sectors.

Jobless growth is rising, especially among the youth, despite higher education levels.

Social infrastructure—health, education, and public transport—remains underfunded and uneven across states.


India’s economy is expanding, but the base of the pyramid—the vast majority of its citizens—remains disproportionately underrepresented in this growth story.

The Road Ahead: Making Growth Inclusive

Policymakers, economists, and civil society must pivot towards a model that doesn’t just celebrate aggregate growth but prioritizes redistributive justice and economic inclusion. This includes:

Progressive taxation and wealth redistribution.

Increased investments in rural development and public services.

Formalizing the informal economy to ensure dignity and fair pay.

Education and skilling to prepare the next generation for equitable participation.

India’s growth journey is remarkable, but it must now evolve. The challenge is not just to become the third or second-largest economy in the coming decades but to ensure that every Indian walks that path together—not just the top 1%.

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