Summary of World Bank Development Report 2024

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Part 1: Middle-Income Transitions

Chapter 1: Slowing Growth
– Growth in middle-income countries tends to slow more frequently than in low or high-income countries.
– Strategies that previously worked during low-income phases, such as capital investment, show diminishing returns.
– Weaker institutional frameworks and low economic/political freedoms increase susceptibility to slowdowns.

Chapter 2: Structural Stasis
– To sustain high-income levels, middle-income countries must undergo two key transitions:
  1. Transition from a focus on investment alone (1i strategy) to a combined strategy incorporating technology diffusion (2i strategy).
  2. Shift to an emphasis on innovation (3i strategy), particularly for upper-middle-income countries.

Chapter 3: Shrinking Spaces
– Achieving growth has become more difficult due to geopolitical tensions affecting trade and investment, along with populism limiting government actions.
– Rising debt and adverse demographics hinder private investment and public capital.
– Climate action demands substantial investments and reforms that may stall productivity.

Part 2: Creative Destruction

Chapter 4: Creation
– Both existing firms (incumbents) and new entrants create value; incumbents have scale advantages, while entrants provide innovation and new ideas.
– Policymakers should focus on metrics like firm value addition and emissions intensity rather than superficial measures such as size and inequality.

Chapter 5: Preservation
– Incumbents can maintain economic and political power by dominating institutions and influencing job and business opportunities.
– Gender discrimination and patriarchal norms severely limit women’s economic potential by restricting access to education and financial resources.

Chapter 6: Destruction
– Outdated sectors must be dismantled to foster innovation and infusion of new technologies.
– State-owned enterprises often resist necessary change, hindering progress towards low-carbon energy solutions needed in middle-income countries.

Part 3: Making Miracles

Chapter 7: Disciplining Incumbency
– Middle-income countries should promote contestable markets to prevent incumbents from abusing market power, including restructuring protectionist policies.
– Support from foreign trade and investment can enhance technological advancement.

Chapter 8: Rewarding Merit
– Countries can boost productivity by enhancing talent, allowing efficient competition among firms, and tapping into women’s potential.
– Effective carbon pricing and deployment of low-carbon energy can support economic growth while targeting emissions reduction.

Chapter 9: Capitalizing on Crises
– Crises can catalyze necessary economic restructuring by challenging the status quo and enabling the adoption of global technologies for decarbonization.
– Middle-income countries should focus on achieving growth, decarbonization, and energy security while ensuring affordable energy access.


The report highlights the complexity of growth in middle-income countries, underscoring the need for structured transitions, innovation, and strategic policymaking to navigate challenges and harness opportunities for long-term development.

Link of the Report

https://www.worldbank.org/wdr2024

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